Recount Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$43k Vol.
$103k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$43k Vol.$103k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
30%
Paxton 9%+
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$207k Vol.
$71k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
$207k Vol.$71k Liq.7Ends in 6 months
41%
Lula da Silva <5%
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$8k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$8k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 10 days
47%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
I
98%
Stratton 6–9%
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$24k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$24k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$118k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$118k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 1 day
76%
200+
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 days
$29k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 5 days
41%
51–60
P
36%
JP
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
C
71%
<20
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$6k Vol.
$16k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$16k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$51k Liq.
5
Ends in 19 days
$237k Vol.$51k Liq.5Ends in 19 days
92%
Yes
T
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
31%
0.6–0.9M
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
W
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
87%
50
E
Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
$44k Vol.
$143k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$44k Vol.$143k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
1240-1279
E
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
$4.6m Vol.
$822k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$4.6m Vol.$822k Liq.Ends in 29 days
9%
1240-1279