Recount Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$40k Vol.
$82k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$40k Vol.$82k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
34%
Paxton 9%+
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$70k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$70k Liq.7Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 12 days
28%
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
I
98%
Stratton 6–9%
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$154 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$154 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 10 days
32%
60-79
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$19k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$19k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$773 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$773 Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 10 days
48%
160-179
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 days
42%
60-79
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$106 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$106 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 10 days
28%
<5
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$668 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$668 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 days
48%
60-79
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$24k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
88%
60-79
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 days
41%
160-179
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$16k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 7 days
41%
160-179
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$20k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 days
88%
<20
N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$28k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$28k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
36%
71–80
T
Ted Cruz # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$285 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$285 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 10 days
29%
100-119
W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$250k Vol.
$12k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$250k Vol.🔥$102k today$12k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
160-179
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 7 days
33%
<5