Resignations Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
9%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$198k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 11 hours
$198k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 11 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 11 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
55%
Kristi Noem
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.0m Vol.
$4.6m Liq.
🔥$6.2m today
32
Ends in 9 months
$89.0m Vol.🔥$6.2m today$4.6m Liq.32Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
6%
Yes
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$404k Vol.$128k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$353k Liq.
🔥$254k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$254k today$353k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$106k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$106k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$508k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$508k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Trump out as President by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$182k Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in about 1 month
$199k Vol.🔥$82k today$182k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$7k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$534k Vol.
$42k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$534k Vol.$42k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
36%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
$670 Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$670 Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
September 30
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
$1.6m Vol.
$29k Liq.
22
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.$29k Liq.22Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Trump out as President by March 31?
$13.4m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$555k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$13.4m Vol.🔥$555k today$3.4m Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes