Robotaxi Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
79%
SpaceX
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$23k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$23k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
R
Esports · Rocket League
Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$7k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Gentle Mates Alpine
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
C
9%
Yes
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4m Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
$1.4m Vol.$23k Liq.3Ends in over 1 year
67%
$800B
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
90%
3DMAX
S
59%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
$14k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$14k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
37%
750B–1T
H
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$137k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$137k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
39%
12+
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$345 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$345 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
86%
3DMAX
R
Esports · Rainbow Six Siege
Rainbow Six Siege: Rebels Gaming vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B
$0 Vol.
$57 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$0 Vol.$57 Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
27%
Rebels Gaming
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
17%
Yes
C
63%
April 17
W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$13k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 30 days
82%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$804k Vol.
$118k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$804k Vol.$118k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
84%
Anthropic