Russia US Relations Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$375k Vol.
$162k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$375k Vol.$162k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
54%
Pakistan
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$8k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$4.6m Vol.
$194k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.$194k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
85%
No meeting by June 30
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
T
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$130k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$130k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31
T
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
U
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
W
9%
Isfahan nuclear facility
W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$250k Vol.
$9k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$250k Vol.🔥$102k today$9k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
160-179
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$773 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$773 Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 10 days
48%
160-179
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$16k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 7 days
41%
160-179
U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$55k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 days
41%
160-179
W
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$765k Vol.
$44k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$765k Vol.$44k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$33k Liq.
123
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$33k Liq.123Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31, 2026