Science Predictions & Odds· 173 markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$21.9m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$418k today
818
Ends in 9 months
$21.9m Vol.🔥$418k today$1.2m Liq.818Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$62k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$62k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 2 months
100%
May 31
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$32k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$32k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 6 days
44%
1
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
1800
NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 14 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 14 hours
83%
April 30
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$385k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$385k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
1%
1600
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$320k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$320k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
94%
5-6"
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$172k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$172k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
90%
3-4"
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
36%
5-6
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$649k Vol.
$92k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$649k Vol.$92k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$208k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$208k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 11 days
42%
1.25–1.29ºC
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$67k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$67k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
63%
8+
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$259k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$259k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$168k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$168k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$121k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$363k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$363k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 4 months
81%
Hong Wang