Sec Predictions & Odds· 403 markets

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes

26%
70-80B

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$26k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
36%
Yes

CWBB · NCAA
2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner
$183k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$183k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 5 days
68%
UConn

Basketball · Sports
NCAA Tournament: National Champion Conference
$93k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$93k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 8 days
53%
Big Ten

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$620k Vol.
$107k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$620k Vol.$107k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
99%
Anthropic

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 20 days
66%
Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$46k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$46k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$389k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 13 hours
$389k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in about 13 hours
3%
Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$282k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$282k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$119k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$119k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place
$93k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ended
$93k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ended
95%
Centro Democrático (CD)

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final
$31k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$97k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
95%
Denmark

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes