Self Driving Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?

$6.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
878
Ended

Yes

Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?

Science · AI

Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

$15.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,491
Ended

June 30, 2026

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ends in 3 months

Yes

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?

$251k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended

No

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

$11.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended

No

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended

Yes

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?

$975k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended

No

What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA GTC Keynote?

What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA GTC Keynote?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended

GPU 5+ times

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

Chip

What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA Keynote?

What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA Keynote?

$656k Vol.
$0 Liq.
136
Ended

Self-Driving 3+ times

What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?

Self Driving

friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended

<$1b / No token in 2024

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

Yes

Monad FDV one day after launch?

Monad FDV one day after launch?

$53.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,263
Ends in 3 months

>$2B

Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$106.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,157
Ended

>$2B

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended

75-84

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

$487k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

<60