Self Driving Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$92k Vol.
$124k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$92k Vol.$124k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
47%
12+
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
47%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
43%
April 30
61%
April 30
What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in March 2026?
$267k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$267k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 1 day
36%
↓ $353
NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 13 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 13 hours
83%
April 30
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
$6.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
878
Ended
$6.6m Vol.$0 Liq.878Ended
Yes
Science · AI
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?
$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$13k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?
$15.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,491
Ended
$15.0m Vol.$0 Liq.1,491Ended
June 30, 2026
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ends in 3 months
$117k Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ends in 3 months
Yes
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?
$251k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended
$251k Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ended
No
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
$11.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended
$11.9m Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ended
No
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended
$1.3m Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ended
Yes
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
$975k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended
$975k Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ended
No
What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA GTC Keynote?
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.19Ended
GPU 5+ times
Chip
Self-Driving 3+ times