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Senate 1 Predictions & Odds· 150 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpElectionsFedUnited StatesPrimariesCongressUS ElectionGlobal ElectionsBrazilFed RatesSenateEconomyDerivativesColombiaPeruParlaysWorldMidtermsEarn 4%ColumbiaWarshTexas SenateCornynPaxtonMidtermPHPActo HistoricoChair Of The Federal ReserveColombia ElectionRewards 100, 4.5, 100
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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Politics·US Election

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.4m Vol.
$322k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

51%

Democratic Party

W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Politics·US Election

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$4.1m Vol.
$463k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

85%

Democratic Party

K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Politics·Trump

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

3%

Yes

W
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

Politics

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended

99%

Yes

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Politics·Trump

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

82%

Yes

W
Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Elections·Texas Senate

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

5%

Yes

H
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

Elections·Congress

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

$67k Vol.
$108k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months

57%

7

H
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Politics·Congress

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.

51%

2

H
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Politics·US Election

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.

81%

0

H
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Politics·Congress

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

$25k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended

56%

4

H
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

Politics·Trump

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

60%

0

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

79%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Politics·Primaries

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$40k Vol.
$79k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

34%

Paxton 9%+

N
Next Senate Majority Leader?

Elections·Senate

Next Senate Majority Leader?

$31k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

34%

Chuck Schumer

T
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Politics·Texas Senate

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

39%

0.6–0.9M

W
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Politics·Congress

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

$105k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

R
Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

Elections·Derivatives

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

$518k Vol.
$109k Liq.
1
Ended

1%

↓ 40%

N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Politics·Global Elections

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

$246k Vol.
$52k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months

74%

PL

#
# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

Elections·Colombia

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

$74k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ended

94%

24-26

P
Peru Senate Election Winner

Elections·Global Elections

Peru Senate Election Winner

$14k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days

33%

JP