Senate 1 Predictions & Odds· 150 markets
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$289k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$289k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$452k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$452k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Politics
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
99%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$60k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$60k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
57%
7
50%
2
81%
0
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$25k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
55%
4
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
0
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$65k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 9 months
80%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
34%
Chuck Schumer
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$66k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$66k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
$105k Vol.
$5k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$105k Vol.$5k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
0.6–0.9M
Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?
$497k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$497k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
↓ 40%
35%
JP
94%
24-26
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$37k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$37k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes