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Senate 1 Predictions & Odds· 328 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpElectionsFedUnited StatesPrimariesCongressRepublicanUS ElectionGlobal ElectionsBrazilFed RatesSenateEconomyDerivativesColombiaPeruParlaysWorldMidtermsEarn 4%ColumbiaWarshTexas SenateCornynPaxtonMidtermVoter IDPHPActo HistoricoChair Of The Federal ReserveColombia ElectionRewards 100, 4.5, 100Save ActThune
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Politics·US Election

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.3m Vol.
$333k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

52%

Democratic Party

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Politics·US Election

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$4.1m Vol.
$498k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

85%

Democratic Party

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Politics·Trump

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

3%

Yes

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

Politics

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours

99%

Yes

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Elections·Texas Senate

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

$5k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

5%

Yes

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

Elections·Congress

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

$67k Vol.
$83k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months

57%

7

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Politics·Congress

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$100 Vol.
$13k Liq.

50%

2

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Politics·US Election

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.

81%

0

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Politics·Congress

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

55%

4

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

Politics·Trump

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

$12k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

57%

0

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Elections·Senate

Next Senate Majority Leader?

$31k Vol.
$63k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

34%

Chuck Schumer

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Politics·Primaries

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$39k Vol.
$104k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

35%

Paxton 9%+

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Politics·Congress

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

$105k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Politics·Texas Senate

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

38%

0.6–0.9M

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

Elections·Derivatives

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

$497k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

2%

↓ 40%

Peru Senate Election Winner

Elections·Global Elections

Peru Senate Election Winner

$14k Vol.
$62k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days

35%

JP

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

Elections·Colombia

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

$74k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ended

94%

24-26

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Politics·republican

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

$37k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

7%

Yes

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Politics·Global Elections

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

$244k Vol.
$57k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months

73%

PL