Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 117 markets
W
1%
Yes
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$529k Vol.
$162k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$529k Vol.$162k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
36%
After April 30
W
100%
After March 31
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$20k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$20k Liq.12Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
N
0%
Yes
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$557k Vol.
$23k Liq.
28
Ended
$557k Vol.$23k Liq.28Ended
51%
December 31, 2026
W
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$42k Liq.
1
Ended
$82k Vol.$42k Liq.1Ended
5%
Jacky Rosen
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
79%
Happy Easter
N
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
43%
17.5-18m
N
57%
5,000-5,500
N
41%
6,500-7,000
N
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
$41k Vol.
$7k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$7k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
M
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ended
2%
Yes
W
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30