Sotu Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

Longest applause at State of the Union?

Longest applause at State of the Union?

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended

36%

70 - 90 seconds

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$149k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

66%

160-179

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$52k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

43%

160-179

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

82%

Yes

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

74%

Congresswoman

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$529k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$10 Vol.
$407 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

42%

HOTU

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

$8k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

55%

December 31

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

69%

Not revealed in 2026

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$28k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

46%

Other

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

2%

Yes

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

$1k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

19%

115-120m

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

88%

Eight Boats / Eight Ships

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$99k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

San Luis Potosi: Matias Soto vs Vladyslav Orlov

Tennis · Sports

San Luis Potosi: Matias Soto vs Vladyslav Orlov

$29 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

58%

Matias Soto

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

$219k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes