Space Travel Predictions & Odds· 147 markets

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$448k Vol.
$83k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

68%

$5M

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$348k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

36%

<5

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

$670k Vol.
$339k Liq.
🔥$134k today
14
Ends in 9 months

93%

December 31

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

38%

Yes

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$139k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years

96%

SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.5m Vol.
$74k Liq.
🔥$200k today
5

52%

1.5T-2.0T

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

$82k Vol.
$47k Liq.
1

30%

1.75-2.00T

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$707k Vol.
$19k Liq.
94
Ends in about 8 hours

91%

April 30

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$652k Vol.
$76k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years

46%

2.0T+

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

$78k Vol.
$56k Liq.
3

26%

70-80B

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m Vol.
$230k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

90%

SpaceX

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

$70k Vol.
$35k Liq.

92%

NASDAQ

SpaceX files IPO by...?

SpaceX files IPO by...?

$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 days

30%

April 3

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

$706k Vol.
$48k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$244k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

34%

160-179

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

$135k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

How many SpaceX launches in April?

How many SpaceX launches in April?

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

62%

13