Space Predictions & Odds· 167 markets

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$448k Vol.
$81k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$448k Vol.$81k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
68%
$5M

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
36%
<5

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$671k Vol.
$337k Liq.
🔥$133k today
16
Ends in 9 months
$671k Vol.🔥$133k today$337k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
93%
December 31

38%
Yes

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

52%
1.5T-2.0T

93%
April 30

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$85k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$652k Vol.$85k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
47%
2.0T+

26%
70-80B

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$235k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$235k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$246k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$246k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
160-179

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
$706k Vol.
$48k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months
$706k Vol.$48k Liq.25Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$135k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$135k Vol.$17k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

How many SpaceX launches in April?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
64%
13