Space Predictions & Odds· 442 markets
Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$447k Vol.
$82k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$447k Vol.$82k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
67%
$5M
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
5-6
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$665k Vol.
$296k Liq.
🔥$135k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$665k Vol.🔥$135k today$296k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
93%
December 31
43%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX
52%
1.5T-2.0T
NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 15 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 15 hours
83%
April 30
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$649k Vol.
$93k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$649k Vol.$93k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$257k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$257k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
26%
70-80B
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
$706k Vol.
$45k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months
$706k Vol.$45k Liq.25Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$244k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$244k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
160-179
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$135k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$135k Vol.$17k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
How many SpaceX launches in April?
$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
13