Spce Predictions & Odds· 6401 markets

S
Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$449k Vol.
$79k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

72%

$5M

H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$403k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

65%

<5

S
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

$1.0m Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$194k today
24
Ends in 9 months

93%

December 31

W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year

96%

SpaceX

1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

4%

Yes

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$140k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

37%

Yes

1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

H
Highest temperature in Denver on April 1?

Weather · Denver

Highest temperature in Denver on April 1?

$92k Vol.
$43k Liq.
🔥$61k today
Ended

100%

52-53°F

H
Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?

Recurring · Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?

$19k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours

50%

72-73°F

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$49k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

97%

April 1

H
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?

Daily Temperature · Hide From New

Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?

$15k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

31%

54-55°F

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$172k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended

42%

March 28

H
Highest temperature in Denver on April 4?

Hide From New · Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Denver on April 4?

$3k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

54%

62°F or higher

H
Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?

Weather · Recurring

Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?

$1k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

24%

66-67°F

M
Major solar storm by April 30?

Weather · Science

Major solar storm by April 30?

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

10%

Yes

E
Elon Bull Run Parlay

Elon Bull Run Parlay

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.2m Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$60k today
176
Ends in over 1 year

49%

$X

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.6m Vol.
$81k Liq.
4

53%

1.5T-2.0T

S
SpaceX files IPO by...?

SpaceX files IPO by...?

$89k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in about 14 hours

99%

Yes