Starship Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
<5
60%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
$101k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
17%
Yes
94%
April 30
26%
70-80B
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$893k Vol.
$117k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$893k Vol.$117k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
94%
>$1T
45%
Yes
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$92k Liq.
9
Ends in almost 2 years
$652k Vol.$92k Liq.9Ends in almost 2 years
47%
2.0T+
52%
1.5T-2.0T
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$216k Liq.
42
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.9m Vol.$216k Liq.42Ends in almost 2 years
94%
1T+
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$135k Vol.
$16k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$135k Vol.$16k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$85k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$85k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
38%
Goldman Sachs
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$433k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$433k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$173k Liq.
🔥$62k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$62k today$173k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
63%
Other