State Of Union Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
36%
70 - 90 seconds
Politics · Geopolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
$109k Vol.
$25k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$109k Vol.$25k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$49k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$49k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
$5k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 1 day
89%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
40-59
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
$77k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 8 hours
$77k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
1%
Yes
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
$53k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in about 8 hours
$53k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$11k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes