Syria Predictions & Odds· 236 markets

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$39k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months
$1.7m Vol.$39k Liq.33Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026

21%
June 30

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
$56k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
$419k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$419k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$89k Vol.
$48k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$89k Vol.$48k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Tunisia

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
28%
December 31

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$296k today
Ends in about 12 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$296k today$183k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
96%
Bahrain

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$164k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$164k Vol.$140k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$336k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 9 months
29%
Somaliland

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$178k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$178k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in 9 months
92%
China

Israel strike on Damascus by...?
$166k Vol.
$6k Liq.
32
Ends in about 12 hours
$166k Vol.$6k Liq.32Ends in about 12 hours
6%
Yes

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$97k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$97k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 10

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

46%
Yes

Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023?
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.1
Yes