Taiwan Election Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$54k Vol.
$39k Liq.
20
Ends in 8 months
$54k Vol.$39k Liq.20Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
L
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$120k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$120k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
C
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
$8k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
$8k Vol.$31k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
56%
DISY
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
$9k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$9k Vol.$100k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
13%
Yes
S
Politics · World
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner
$1.6m Vol.
$108k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.$108k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
97%
Scottish National Party
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$136k Vol.
$304k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$136k Vol.$304k Liq.Ends in 6 months
6%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$172k Vol.
$235k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$172k Vol.$235k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
21%
Yes
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$984k Vol.
$123k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$984k Vol.$123k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$2.2m Vol.
$302k Liq.
🔥$118k today
Ends in 3 months
$2.2m Vol.🔥$118k today$302k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$36k Vol.
$93k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$36k Vol.$93k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
28%
46-50%
W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$108k Vol.
$29k Liq.
57
Ended
$108k Vol.$29k Liq.57Ended
44%
59-60%
T
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
December 31
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$37k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$37k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 9 days
26%
40-44%
W
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)?
$849k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$849k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yu-ih
W
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?
$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$37k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No
T
Lai Ching-te (賴清德)