Tariff Predictions & Odds· 114 markets
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$39k Liq.
28
Ends in about 4 hours
$1.2m Vol.$39k Liq.28Ends in about 4 hours
99%
5–15%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$162k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 4 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 4 hours
98%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$9k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$15k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$15k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$26k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$415k Vol.
$9k Liq.
25
Ends in about 4 hours
$415k Vol.$9k Liq.25Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$20k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$20k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.4m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
423
Ends in about 1 month
$18.4m Vol.🔥$1.6m today$4.7m Liq.423Ends in about 1 month
83%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$64k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
44%
Yes
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$158k Vol.
$146k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$146k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
India
34%
800–900B
45%
Yes
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014
Sports · Games
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France
$0 Vol.
$21 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$0 Vol.$21 Liq.Ends in 12 days
51%
Norway
Sports · Games
T20 Central American Championship: Mexico vs Costa Rica
$0 Vol.
$25 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$0 Vol.$25 Liq.Ends in 10 days
86%
Mexico
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
33%
April 30
Sports · Games
T20 Central American Championship: Costa Rica vs Brazil
$10 Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$10 Vol.$20 Liq.Ends in 12 days
52%
Costa Rica