Tariff Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

$1.2m Vol.
$45k Liq.
28
Ends in about 9 hours

98%

5–15%

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

$162k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

1%

Yes

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 9 hours

98%

Yes

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

$39k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

15%

Yes

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

49%

Yes

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours

0%

Yes

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

$415k Vol.
$9k Liq.
25
Ends in about 9 hours

1%

Yes

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$81k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

39%

June 30

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

$18.2m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
423
Ends in about 1 month

84%

June 30

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$62k Vol.
$15k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

$140k Vol.
$212k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

India

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$980 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

34%

800–900B

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

Sports · Games

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

$0 Vol.
$25 Liq.
Ends in 13 days

52%

Norway

WTT - Women's Singles: Yingsha Sun vs Yu-Jhun Li

Sports · Games

WTT - Women's Singles: Yingsha Sun vs Yu-Jhun Li

$267 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

91%

Sun

T20 Central American Championship: Mexico vs Costa Rica

Sports · Games

T20 Central American Championship: Mexico vs Costa Rica

$0 Vol.
$40 Liq.
Ends in 10 days

86%

Mexico

T20 Central American Championship: Costa Rica vs Brazil

Sports · Games

T20 Central American Championship: Costa Rica vs Brazil

$10 Vol.
$36 Liq.
Ends in 12 days

50%

Costa Rica

T20 Central American Championship: Mexico vs Costa Rica

Sports · Games

T20 Central American Championship: Mexico vs Costa Rica

$0 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ends in 12 days

51%

Mexico

WTT - Women's Singles: Ying Han vs Maylis Giret

Sports · Games

WTT - Women's Singles: Ying Han vs Maylis Giret

$177 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

100%

Han