Tariff Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$45k Liq.
28
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.2m Vol.$45k Liq.28Ends in about 9 hours
98%
5–15%

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$162k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 9 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 9 hours
98%
Yes

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$20k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$26k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$415k Vol.
$9k Liq.
25
Ends in about 9 hours
$415k Vol.$9k Liq.25Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$21k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30

Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.2m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
423
Ends in about 1 month
$18.2m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$4.4m Liq.423Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$62k Vol.
$15k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$62k Vol.$15k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$212k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$212k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
India

34%
800–900B

Sports · Games
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France
$0 Vol.
$25 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$0 Vol.$25 Liq.Ends in 13 days
52%
Norway

Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Yingsha Sun vs Yu-Jhun Li
$267 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$267 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 days
91%
Sun

Sports · Games
T20 Central American Championship: Mexico vs Costa Rica
$0 Vol.
$40 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$0 Vol.$40 Liq.Ends in 10 days
86%
Mexico

Sports · Games
T20 Central American Championship: Costa Rica vs Brazil
$10 Vol.
$36 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$10 Vol.$36 Liq.Ends in 12 days
50%
Costa Rica

Sports · Games
T20 Central American Championship: Mexico vs Costa Rica
$0 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$0 Vol.$27 Liq.Ends in 12 days
51%
Mexico

Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Ying Han vs Maylis Giret
$177 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$177 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 days
100%
Han