Tariff Predictions & Odds· 684 markets
W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$40k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$19k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$19k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$329k Vol.
$21k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$329k Vol.$21k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
48%
Yes
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$93k Vol.
$24k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$93k Vol.$24k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
33%
June 30
W
Will Trump visit China by...?
$19.4m Vol.
$377k Liq.
🔥$260k today
437
Ends in 27 days
$19.4m Vol.🔥$260k today$377k Liq.437Ends in 27 days
82%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$190k Vol.
$187k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$190k Vol.$187k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Israel
U
35%
800–900B
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$50k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$50k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
W
Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?
$6.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
366
Ended
$6.7m Vol.$0 Liq.366Ended
China
P
Above $6.00
N
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?
$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
$200k Vol.$0 Liq.26Ended
Yes
W
Yes
W
Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with by December 31?
$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Israel
W
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?
$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$30k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
No