Un Predictions & Odds· 1491 markets

K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

$55k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$365 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ended

52%

Rebeca Grynspan

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$78.8m Vol.
$994k Liq.
🔥$295k today
207
Ends in 9 months

64%

Delcy Rodríguez

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
🔥$87k today
2
Ended

98%

March 27

I
Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

$990k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$87k today
1
Ended

61%

March 31

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

$2.0m Vol.
$102k Liq.
🔥$65k today
1
Ends in 3 months

4%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$154k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ended

77%

March 31

W
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$10.6m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
1
Ended

0%

Yes

H
How many different countries will Israel strike in March?

88%

3

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$3.6m Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ended

96%

March 31

I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$69k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ended

100%

March 28

H
How many different countries will Israel strike in April?

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?

$19k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

45%

3

G
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$8k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

25%

April 30

W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$154k Vol.
$206k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year

21%

Yes

W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

$109k Vol.
$136k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months

7%

Yes

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$5k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

91%

April 3

R
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?

$1.5m Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ended

14%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$5k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

96%

April 2

W
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes