Un Predictions & Odds· 1516 markets

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

$55k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$365 Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ended

46%

Amina Mohammed

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$78.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$308k today
206
Ends in 9 months

65%

Delcy Rodríguez

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.0m Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$138k today
1
Ends in about 4 hours

98%

March 30

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

$977k Vol.
$17k Liq.
🔥$132k today
Ends in about 4 hours

40%

March 31

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

$1.9m Vol.
$101k Liq.
🔥$64k today
Ends in 3 months

4%

Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

71%

March 31

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$10.6m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$3.6m Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

96%

March 31

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?

$333k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

81%

3

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$65k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

100%

March 24

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?

$18k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

45%

3

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

$108k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

7%

Yes

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

28%

April 30

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$154k Vol.
$173k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years

21%

Yes

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$5k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

96%

April 2

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

12%

April 30

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$3k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

86%

April 4

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

$413k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

30%

June 30