US Congress Predictions & Odds· 325 markets
U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
$16k Vol.
$2k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$16k Vol.$2k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
L
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$9k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$38k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$38k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
86%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$313k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$313k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
2
19%
115-120m
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$361k Vol.
$31k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$361k Vol.$31k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
84%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
H
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$22k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in 5 months
46%
20–23
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$2.1m Vol.
$187k Liq.
10
$2.1m Vol.$187k Liq.10
27%
≤47
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$97k Vol.
$16k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$16k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
56%
December 31, 2026
H
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$69k Vol.
$133k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$69k Vol.$133k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
59%
7
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
H
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$111k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$111k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
50%
40–43
H
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$40k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
$40k Vol.$2k Liq.1
40%
7-9
N
34%
Chuck Schumer