US Government Predictions & Odds· 258 markets
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$97k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
34%
December 31, 2026
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$505k Vol.
$329k Liq.
🔥$341k today
8
Ends in 9 months
$505k Vol.🔥$341k today$329k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
9%
December 31
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
$126k Vol.
$58k Liq.
🔥$108k today
2
Ends in about 2 months
$126k Vol.🔥$108k today$58k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
16%
Yes
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$476k Vol.
$58k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$476k Vol.$58k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$722k Vol.
$90k Liq.
45
Ends in 9 months
$722k Vol.$90k Liq.45Ends in 9 months
30%
7
U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$494k Vol.
$27k Liq.
41
Ends in 28 days
$494k Vol.$27k Liq.41Ends in 28 days
7%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$11k Liq.
10
Ends in 28 days
$237k Vol.$11k Liq.10Ends in 28 days
8%
Yes
W
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
$19k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$19k Vol.$14k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
U
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
$25k Vol.
$19k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$25k Vol.$19k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
U
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$4k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$12k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$12k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$11.0m Vol.
$481k Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
213
Ends in 3 months
$11.0m Vol.🔥$1.4m today$481k Liq.213Ends in 3 months
78%
June 30
W
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$533k Vol.
$35k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$533k Vol.$35k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$466k Vol.
$27k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$466k Vol.$27k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
89%
Yes
W
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$104k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$104k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
$155k Vol.
$112k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$155k Vol.$112k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
65%
Stefan Brodie
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$46k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
16%
Yes
J
Trump · Trump Presidency
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
$375k Vol.
$19k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 months
$375k Vol.$19k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes