2024 Nomination 预测与赔率· 243 个市场

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$944.8m 交易量
$38.5m 流动性
🔥$8.9m 今日
629
超过 2 年后结束

24%

Gavin Newsom

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$497.4m 交易量
$28.0m 流动性
🔥$6.9m 今日
328
超过 2 年后结束

49%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

$177 交易量
$13k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束

24%

Yes

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

$0 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束

14%

Yes

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.6m 交易量
$875k 流动性
71
9 个月后结束

52%

Mojtaba Khamenei

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$845k 交易量
$87k 流动性
30
9 个月后结束

15%

Yes

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

$67k 交易量
$63k 流动性
5
5 个月后结束

58%

7

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

$50k 交易量
$40k 流动性
4
5 个月后结束

41%

36–39

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

$29k 交易量
$14k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束

7%

Yes

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

$7k 交易量
$11k 流动性
5 个月后结束

39%

24–27

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m 交易量
$172k 流动性
9 个月后结束

59%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$211 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束

35%

60+

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$436k 交易量
$28k 流动性
12
大约 1 个月后结束

52%

May 15

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

$21k 交易量
$46k 流动性
3 个月后结束

85%

Ritchie Torres

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

$299k 交易量
$91k 流动性
2
4 个月后结束

71%

Jay Feely

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

$6k 交易量
$49k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

96%

Nikema Williams

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

$127k 交易量
$58k 流动性
28
大约 2 个月后结束

64%

Thomas Massie

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

$6k 交易量
$22k 流动性
2 个月后结束

44%

Alex Pelbath

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$38k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

44%

US x Iran Ceasefire