2024 Nomination Predictions & Odds· 248 markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$940.4m Vol.
$37.5m Liq.
🔥$8.1m today
627
Ends in over 2 years
$940.4m Vol.🔥$8.1m today$37.5m Liq.627Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$494.4m Vol.
$29.2m Liq.
🔥$6.6m today
328
Ends in over 2 years
$494.4m Vol.🔥$6.6m today$29.2m Liq.328Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
$0 Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
$0 Vol.$16k Liq.1Ends in over 2 years
14%
Yes
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
$165 Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
$165 Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in over 2 years
24%
Yes
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.2m Liq.71Ends in 9 months
46%
Mojtaba Khamenei
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$68k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$68k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
56%
7
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$90k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$90k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$46k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$46k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
41%
36–39
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
$29k Vol.
$25k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$29k Vol.$25k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$7k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 months
32%
24–27
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$346k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$235k today$346k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$22k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
52%
May 15
85%
Ritchie Torres
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
$299k Vol.
$152k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
$299k Vol.$152k Liq.2Ends in 4 months
71%
Jay Feely
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$33k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$5k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
96%
Nikema Williams
72%
Eric Chung
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
$127k Vol.
$49k Liq.
27
Ends in about 2 months
$127k Vol.$49k Liq.27Ends in about 2 months
64%
Thomas Massie