2024 Nomination Predictions & Odds· 248 markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$943.4m Vol.
$39.1m Liq.
🔥$8.5m today
628
Ends in over 2 years
$943.4m Vol.🔥$8.5m today$39.1m Liq.628Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$496.6m Vol.
$28.2m Liq.
🔥$6.9m today
328
Ends in over 2 years
$496.6m Vol.🔥$6.9m today$28.2m Liq.328Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
$177 Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
$177 Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in over 2 years
24%
Yes
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in over 2 years
14%
Yes
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$815k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$815k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
49%
Mojtaba Khamenei
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$53k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$53k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
57%
7
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$89k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$89k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$27k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$27k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
41%
36–39
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$7k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 months
39%
24–27
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$62k today$164k Liq.Ends in 9 months
58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$436k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$436k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
52%
May 15
85%
Ritchie Torres
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
$299k Vol.
$89k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
$299k Vol.$89k Liq.2Ends in 4 months
71%
Jay Feely
GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$6k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$6k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
96%
Nikema Williams
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
$127k Vol.
$49k Liq.
27
Ends in about 2 months
$127k Vol.$49k Liq.27Ends in about 2 months
64%
Thomas Massie
IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$3k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
92%
André Carson
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$30k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire