538 Approval Rating 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

Trump approval rating on April 3?

Trump approval rating on April 3?

$46k 交易量
$20k 流动性
4 天后结束

44%

39.5–39.9

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$3k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

↑ 44%

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$41k 交易量
$18k 流动性
9 个月后结束

36%

35%

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4 天后结束

23%

Up

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

$446 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
30 天后结束

16%

Up

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k 交易量
$13k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

2%

Yes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.2m 交易量
$412k 流动性
140
7 个月后结束

50%

Democrats Sweep

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

6%

Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

92%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$7k 流动性
17 天后结束

63%

April 17

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 交易量
$6k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

82%

Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

$15k 交易量
$5k 流动性
已结束

4%

Yes

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

$55k 交易量
$17k 流动性
已结束

0%

Yes

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$944.9m 交易量
$38.5m 流动性
🔥$8.9m 今日
629
超过 2 年后结束

24%

Gavin Newsom

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$8k 交易量
$9k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

36%

Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

$24k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

17%

Yes

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$82k 交易量
$51k 流动性
1
已结束

5%

Jacky Rosen

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$557k 交易量
$25k 流动性
28
已结束

51%

December 31, 2026

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$28k 交易量
$44k 流动性
7 个月后结束

46%

Other