538 Approval Rating 预测与赔率· 105 个市场

T
Trump approval rating on April 3?

Trump approval rating on April 3?

$161k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1 天后结束

42%

39.0–39.4

H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$43k 交易量
$22k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

36%

35%

H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$3k 交易量
$24k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

12%

↑ 46%

T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1 天后结束

9%

Up

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k 交易量
$16k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

3%

Yes

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.3m 交易量
$555k 流动性
147
7 个月后结束

51%

Democrats Sweep

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 交易量
$8k 流动性
8 天后结束

6%

Yes

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

92%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$30k 交易量
$6k 流动性
15 天后结束

65%

April 17

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

85%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

$15k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

4%

Yes

D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$964.8m 交易量
$37.3m 流动性
🔥$7.0m 今日
630
超过 2 年后结束

25%

Gavin Newsom

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

$32k 交易量
$7k 流动性
已结束

3%

Yes

W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$559k 交易量
$1k 流动性
27
已结束

31%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

$5k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 12 小时后结束

17%

Yes

2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$28k 交易量
$34k 流动性
7 个月后结束

46%

Other

"
"The Drama" Rotten Tomatoes score?

"The Drama" Rotten Tomatoes score?

$1k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4 天后结束

99%

72+

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$15k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1 天后结束

70%

80-99

H
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

82%

0