Artificial Intelligence 预测与赔率· 541 个市场

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量
$4k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

35%

Yes

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$44k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束

18%

Yes

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

$7k 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

61%

Yes

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5 天后结束

74%

Congresswoman

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

$3k 交易量
$11k 流动性
10 天后结束

85%

Dollar 5+ times

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$23k 流动性
79
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

42%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
31
已结束

45%

December 31, 2026

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量
$30k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

$488k 交易量
$61k 流动性
3
大约 11 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

3%

Yes

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.1m 交易量
$168k 流动性
20
大约 11 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$474 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

36%

Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

$15.9m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
🔥$258k 今日
大约 11 小时后结束

100%

Anthropic

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

18%

Yes