Claudine Gay 预测与赔率· 131 个市场

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$70k 流动性
162
大约 1 个月后结束

77%

June 30, 2026

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$14k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

50%

June 30

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$9k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

40%

9-11

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$188k 交易量
$17k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

94%

35%+

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k 交易量
$1k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

56%

Yes

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Sports · Soccer

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

$190k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
4 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

$166k 交易量
$36k 流动性
67
9 个月后结束

16%

December 31, 2026

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束

18%

Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$1k 交易量
$6k 流动性
15 天后结束

77%

April 15

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

$8.8m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
🔥$161k 今日
353
3 个月后结束

50%

Candidate M

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.1m 交易量
$169k 流动性
20
大约 10 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m 交易量
$535k 流动性
9 个月后结束

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

$1.8m 交易量
$299k 流动性
5
2 个月后结束

74%

Iván Cepeda Castro

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$15k 交易量
$9k 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

99%

ChatGPT

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$4k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL · Sports

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

$142k 交易量
$706k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

45%

Nikita Kucherov

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$5k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

93%

Claude by Anthropic

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$93k 交易量
$25k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

77%

600B+

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$11k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束

89%

Yes