Climate Science 预测与赔率· 259 个市场

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.2m 交易量
$174k 流动性
🔥$59k 今日
176
超过 1 年后结束

48%

$X

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$64k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

86%

8+

S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$950k 交易量
$118k 流动性
19
超过 1 年后结束

94%

>$1T

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m 交易量
$79k 流动性
22
超过 1 年后结束

44%

Morgan Stanley

H
Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9m 交易量
$36k 流动性
28
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$279k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

$2.9m 交易量
$224k 流动性
44
超过 1 年后结束

96%

1T+

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$38k 流动性
9 个月后结束

30%

14–16

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$164k 流动性
17
9 个月后结束

46%

2

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$664k 交易量
$99k 流动性
8
超过 1 年后结束

46%

2.0T+

M
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$225k 交易量
$17k 流动性
7 天后结束

64%

1.25–1.29ºC

2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$279k 交易量
$22k 流动性
7 天后结束

99%

4th or lower

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$183k 交易量
$22k 流动性
7 天后结束

100%

150+

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$191k 交易量
$22k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$50k 流动性
9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

45%

1

9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$174k 交易量
$16k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$315k 交易量
$7k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

33%

Yes

N
New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

$200k 交易量
$30k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

W
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$112k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

73%

Yes