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Climate Weather 预测与赔率· 229 个市场

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Climate & Science·Weather

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

$36k 交易量

$5k 流动性

4

2 个月后结束

6%

Yes

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Climate & Science·Precipitation

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$329k 交易量

$8k 流动性

大约 5 小时后结束

86%

5-6"

Precipitation in NYC in March?

Climate & Science·Weather

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$176k 交易量

$10k 流动性

大约 5 小时后结束

89%

3-4"

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Climate & Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量

$31k 流动性

9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量

$26k 流动性

1

9 个月后结束

28%

14–16

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Culture·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量

$93k 流动性

22

3 个月后结束

68%

8+

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Climate & Science·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$390k 交易量

$23k 流动性

大约 5 小时后结束

0%

1600

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Climate & Science·Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$171k 交易量

$8k 流动性

6

9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Climate & Science·Science

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k 交易量

$26k 流动性

26

9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & Science·Weather

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$116k 交易量

$9k 流动性

9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Earthquakes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量

$19k 流动性

9

大约 1 年后结束

44%

1

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Climate & Science·Weather

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$112k 交易量

$5k 流动性

5

10 个月后结束

73%

Yes

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Culture·Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量

$110k 流动性

20

9 个月后结束

46%

2

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$158k 交易量

$21k 流动性

10 天后结束

100%

150+

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Climate & Science·Weather

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

$33k 交易量

$1k 流动性

大约 5 小时后结束

50%

40-45mm

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & Science·climate

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$310k 交易量

$5k 流动性

6

9 个月后结束

39%

Yes

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$327k 交易量

$2k 流动性

2 个月后结束

41%

Yes

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Climate & Science·Science

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$271k 交易量

$16k 流动性

10 天后结束

98%

4th or lower

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Climate & Science·Science

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$208k 交易量

$16k 流动性

10 天后结束

48%

1.25–1.29ºC

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$35k 交易量

$17k 流动性

2

1 天后结束

97%

14.2-14.4m sq km