Climate Change 预测与赔率· 337 个市场

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$34k 交易量
$16k 流动性
2
1 天后结束

96%

14.2-14.4m sq km

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$28k 交易量
$6k 流动性
6
6 个月后结束

39%

<4m sq km

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$58k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$11k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

45%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k 交易量
$17k 流动性
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

$5 交易量
$150 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

69%

↑ $3.00

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$115k 流动性
19
9 个月后结束

46%

2

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

$64k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

72%

↓ 0.40

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$271k 交易量
$17k 流动性
10 天后结束

98%

4th or lower

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$595k 交易量
$36k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

17%

↑ $4

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$93k 交易量
$31k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

99%

Gold

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k 交易量
$12k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

34%

Leadership Change

What price will Ethena hit in March?

What price will Ethena hit in March?

$96k 交易量
$176k 流动性
1 天后结束

13%

↓ 0.08

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$208k 交易量
$16k 流动性
10 天后结束

45%

1.25–1.29ºC

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

$7k 交易量
$60k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

56%

S&P 500

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather · Science

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$18k 交易量
$5k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

31%

1.20–1.24ºC

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$109k 交易量
$5k 流动性
5
10 个月后结束

73%

Yes

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$699k 交易量
$26k 流动性
94
大约 9 小时后结束

89%

April 30

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k 交易量
$4k 流动性
27

39%

Yes

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

$0 交易量
$30 流动性
3 个月后结束

50%

No change