Climate Change 预测与赔率· 116 个市场

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$36k 交易量
$11k 流动性
2
大约 22 小时后结束

97%

14.2-14.4m sq km

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$28k 交易量
$4k 流动性
6
6 个月后结束

39%

<4m sq km

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$58k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k 交易量
$15k 流动性
4
30 天后结束

39%

April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k 交易量
$16k 流动性
67

24%

Isfahan nuclear facility

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$11k 流动性
108
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$271k 交易量
$15k 流动性
10 天后结束

98%

4th or lower

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$114k 流动性
20
9 个月后结束

45%

2

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

$64k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

72%

↓ 0.40

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science · Weather

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$2k 交易量
$4k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

42%

3rd hottest

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$596k 交易量
$36k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

15%

↑ $4

What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

$93k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束

MAGA / Make America Great Again

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

$789k 交易量
$0 流动性
105
已结束

Obamacare/Affordable Care Act

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

$286k 交易量
$0 流动性
47
已结束

CIA

What will the next Pope believe in?

What will the next Pope believe in?

$398k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
已结束

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

$19k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束

Michigan

What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

$31k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束

Delta

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$105k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

Yes

Global Heat Increase 2024

Global Temp · Science

Global Heat Increase 2024

$14.5m 交易量
$0 流动性
133
已结束

1.28-1.30

September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Global Temp · Science

September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$2.5m 交易量
$0 流动性
87
已结束

1.23-1.28