Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 334 markets
Weather · climate
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?
$34k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
$34k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in 1 day
95%
14.2-14.4m sq km
Weather · climate
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
$28k Vol.
$4k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$28k Vol.$4k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
39%
<4m sq km
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
47%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$121k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$270k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$270k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 11 days
98%
4th or lower
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$36k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
↑ $4
Science · Weather
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
3rd hottest
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Weather · Science
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$18k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$18k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
30%
1.20–1.24ºC
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$108k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 10 months
$108k Vol.$5k Liq.5Ends in 10 months
73%
Yes
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$291k Vol.$2k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
51%
↑ 0.50
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$884 Vol.
$797 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$884 Vol.$797 Liq.Ends in 2 days
47%
↓ 42600
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
$77k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$41k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
69%
↓ 500
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of March 30 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in 4 days
51%
↑ $3.10
50%
No change