Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
Weather · climate
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?
$36k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 22 hours
$36k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in about 22 hours
95%
14.2-14.4m sq km
Weather · climate
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
$28k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$28k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
39%
<4m sq km
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
22%
Isfahan nuclear facility
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?
$5 Vol.
$108 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5 Vol.$108 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
69%
↑ $3.00
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$271k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$271k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 10 days
98%
4th or lower
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$121k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
45%
2
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
15%
↑ $4
MAGA / Make America Great Again
Obamacare/Affordable Care Act
Promoting a “Synodal Church”
Michigan
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$105k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$105k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ends in 3 months
Yes
1.28-1.30
Global Temp · Science
September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$2.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
87
Ended
$2.5m Vol.$0 Liq.87Ended
1.23-1.28
