Next Pope Predictions & Odds· 127 markets
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?
$501 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$501 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
59%
Yes
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$401k Liq.
47
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.1m Vol.$401k Liq.47Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$488k Liq.
🔥$50k today
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.🔥$50k today$488k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
68%
Rumen Radev
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$4.0m Vol.
$686k Liq.
🔥$63k today
44
Ends in 9 months
$4.0m Vol.🔥$63k today$686k Liq.44Ends in 9 months
38%
No Next PM in 2026
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
$5.2m Vol.
$211k Liq.
🔥$500k today
114
Ended
$5.2m Vol.🔥$500k today$211k Liq.114Ended
91%
Mette Frederiksen
62%
No Bond chosen
Next Prime Minister of Slovenia
$2.0m Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$342k today
85
Ended
$2.0m Vol.🔥$342k today$60k Liq.85Ended
61%
Robert Golob
Next French Presidential Election
$23.4m Vol.
$3.1m Liq.
🔥$1.0m today
362
Ends in about 1 year
$23.4m Vol.🔥$1.0m today$3.1m Liq.362Ends in about 1 year
26%
Édouard Philippe
Promoting a “Synodal Church”
No
