Papal Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?

Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?

$501 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

59%

Yes

What will be the next Pope's papal name?

What will be the next Pope's papal name?

$336k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

Leo

# of rounds to elect next Pope?

# of rounds to elect next Pope?

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53
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3–4

# days to elect the next Pope?

# days to elect the next Pope?

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26
Ended

2

What continent will next Pope be from?

What continent will next Pope be from?

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92
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North America

What will the next Pope believe in?

What will the next Pope believe in?

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9
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Promoting a “Synodal Church”

Will the next Pope be gay?

Will the next Pope be gay?

$88k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

No

Will new pope be 70+ years old?

Will new pope be 70+ years old?

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$0 Liq.
6
Ended

No

New Pope announced by...?

New Pope announced by...?

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44
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May 9

Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?

Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?

$64k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?

Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?

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17
Ended

No

New Pope before July?

New Pope before July?

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12
Ended

Yes

Will the next Pope be Black?

Will the next Pope be Black?

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73
Ended

No

What country will next Pope be from?

What country will next Pope be from?

$265k Vol.
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3
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United States

Will the next Pope be trans?

Will the next Pope be trans?

$59k Vol.
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-1
Ended

No

Will the next Pope be a manlet?

Will the next Pope be a manlet?

$139k Vol.
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23
Ended

No

Who will be the next Pope?

Who will be the next Pope?

$30.1m Vol.
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1,883
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Robert Francis Prevost

New Pope in 2025?

New Pope in 2025?

$2.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
368
Ended

Yes

Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023?

religion · catholic church

Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30?

Yes