Climate 预测与赔率· 323 个市场

M
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$44k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2
已结束

97%

14.2-14.4m sq km

W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$315k 交易量
$7k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

33%

Yes

N
Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$329k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

41%

Yes

M
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$29k 交易量
$5k 流动性
6
6 个月后结束

47%

<4m sq km

W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$12k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

7%

Yes

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k 交易量
$26k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$19k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

11%

Yes

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.1m 交易量
$181k 流动性
🔥$155k 今日
174
超过 1 年后结束

46%

Other

S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$935k 交易量
$112k 流动性
18
超过 1 年后结束

94%

>$1T

N
NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$731k 交易量
$10k 流动性
101
已结束

94%

April 30

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$180k 交易量
$24k 流动性
8 天后结束

99%

150+

P
Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

$55k 交易量
$5k 流动性
已结束

99%

40-45mm

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m 交易量
$81k 流动性
20
超过 1 年后结束

35%

Morgan Stanley

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

$2.9m 交易量
$197k 流动性
44
超过 1 年后结束

93%

1T+

M
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$222k 交易量
$16k 流动性
8 天后结束

61%

1.25–1.29ºC

2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$279k 交易量
$19k 流动性
8 天后结束

99%

4th or lower

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$130k 流动性
17
9 个月后结束

45%

2

L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$272k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$658k 交易量
$95k 流动性
8
超过 1 年后结束

46%

2.0T+

H
Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9m 交易量
$34k 流动性
23
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes