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Climate 预测与赔率· 321 个市场

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & Science·climate

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$310k 交易量

$5k 流动性

6

9 个月后结束

39%

Yes

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$327k 交易量

$2k 流动性

2 个月后结束

42%

Yes

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$35k 交易量

$17k 流动性

2

1 天后结束

95%

14.2-14.4m sq km

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate & Science·climate

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$11k 交易量

$3k 流动性

2 个月后结束

7%

Yes

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k 交易量

$13k 流动性

6

9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量

$19k 流动性

8

大约 1 年后结束

12%

Yes

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$28k 交易量

$3k 流动性

6

6 个月后结束

39%

<4m sq km

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$3.9m 交易量

$175k 流动性

🔥$62k 今日

170

将近 2 年后结束

63%

Other

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Climate & Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量

$29k 流动性

9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量

$24k 流动性

1

9 个月后结束

28%

14–16

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

$2.9m 交易量

$216k 流动性

42

将近 2 年后结束

94%

1T+

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Culture·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量

$102k 流动性

22

3 个月后结束

68%

8+

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m 交易量

$80k 流动性

17

将近 2 年后结束

38%

Goldman Sachs

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$707k 交易量

$19k 流动性

94

大约 4 小时后结束

94%

April 30

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Climate & Science·Precipitation

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$329k 交易量

$8k 流动性

大约 4 小时后结束

86%

5-6"

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Climate & Science·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$390k 交易量

$23k 流动性

大约 4 小时后结束

0%

1600

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

$199k 交易量

$15k 流动性

9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Climate & Science·Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$171k 交易量

$7k 流动性

6

9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$652k 交易量

$95k 流动性

9

将近 2 年后结束

47%

2.0T+

Precipitation in NYC in March?

Climate & Science·Weather

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$176k 交易量

$10k 流动性

大约 4 小时后结束

89%

3-4"