Continuing Resolution 预测与赔率· 216 个市场

W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$14k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

31%

Yes

U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k 交易量
$11k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$432k 交易量
$35k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

41%

June 30

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m 交易量
$397k 流动性
9 个月后结束

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k 交易量
$44k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

$2k 交易量
$121k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

51%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.9m 交易量
$429k 流动性
🔥$481k 今日
28 天后结束

2%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 交易量
$4k 流动性
8 天后结束

6%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$126k 流动性
4 个月后结束

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$4 交易量
$587 流动性
28 天后结束

44%

20 - 25 minutes

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$81.3m 交易量
$2.6m 流动性
🔥$7.5m 今日
1,408

73%

December 31

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

$14k 交易量
$189k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

5%

Yes

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.3m 交易量
$479k 流动性
146
7 个月后结束

51%

Democrats Sweep

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m 交易量
$490k 流动性
🔥$74k 今日
5,430
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

U
US/Israel military action against Yemen by...?

US/Israel military action against Yemen by...?

$454k 交易量
$13k 流动性
65
已结束

1%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k 交易量
$94k 流动性
35
27 天后结束

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$58k 交易量
$29k 流动性
4

11%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$4.4m 交易量
$457k 流动性
🔥$261k 今日
3 个月后结束

10%

Yes

W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

$533k 交易量
$37k 流动性
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k 交易量
$108k 流动性
3 个月后结束

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause