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Elon Vspt Open AI 预测与赔率· 134 个市场

全部SportsPoliticsBasketballSpaceXScienceBusinessFinanceElon MuskSam AltmanAIGptOpenAICultureIPOsLlmArtificial IntelligenceTweet MarketsSpaceTechOutageCourtsXNCAAGamesSamAltmanParlaysChatgptXAIBig TechGPT 5IPOCWBBMusk V. AltmanMusk V AltmanClaude 5
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Politics·OpenAI

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$91k 交易量
$12k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

34%

Yes

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Tech·Business

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
将近 2 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Tech·Science

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
将近 2 年后结束

79%

SpaceX

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

Tech·outage

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

Tech·gpt

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

2%

Yes

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Tech·Big Tech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$242k 交易量
$8k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

𝕏 Money launched by...?

Tech·xAI

𝕏 Money launched by...?

$7k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

55%

April 30

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Finance·OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$4k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

Elon Phoenix vs. Stony Brook Seawolves (W)

Sports · Basketball

Elon Phoenix vs. Stony Brook Seawolves (W)

$43 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Stony Brook Seawolves

ChatGPT Outage by...?

Tech·chatgpt

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束

20%

Yes

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Tech·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Culture·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

$3k 交易量
$18k 流动性
5 天后结束

35%

65-89

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Tech·Parlays

Elon Bull Run Parlay

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9 个月后结束

17%

Yes

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Tech·llm

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Tech·AI

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

29%

Yes

Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix (W)

Sports · Basketball

Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix (W)

$69 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Elon Phoenix

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Finance·IPOs

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
将近 2 年后结束

67%

$800B