Fdic 预测与赔率· 103 个市场

A
Another US bank failure by March 31?

Another US bank failure by March 31?

$104k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
已结束

2%

Yes

U
US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

$8k 交易量
$5k 流动性
30 天后结束

24%

Yes

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$115k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k 交易量
$99k 流动性
23
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$136k 流动性
4 个月后结束

74%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.1m 交易量
$266k 流动性
🔥$850k 今日
1
4 个月后结束

77%

No change

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$40.2m 交易量
$3.6m 流动性
🔥$2.5m 今日
26
29 天后结束

98%

No change

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.8m 交易量
$870k 流动性
🔥$290k 今日
14
3 个月后结束

89%

No change

W
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$105k 交易量
$12k 流动性
已结束

100%

Gold

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$357k 交易量
$100k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

3%

Scotiabank

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$179k 流动性
17
3 个月后结束

64%

December Meeting

H
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k 交易量
$17k 流动性
29 天后结束

46%

2

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

17%

Yes

W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.9m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$321k 今日
72
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$41k 交易量
$14k 流动性
9 个月后结束

34%

54

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.1m 交易量
$562k 流动性
258
3 个月后结束

44%

>$600M

R
Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?

Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?

$4k 交易量
$685 流动性
6
已结束

2%

Yes

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

26%

Yes

W
What price will BNB hit in March?

What price will BNB hit in March?

$284k 交易量
$106k 流动性
1
大约 21 小时后结束

1%

↑ 700