Fed Rates 预测与赔率· 127 个市场

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$45.4m 交易量
$4.2m 流动性
🔥$4.1m 今日
38
27 天后结束

98%

No change

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$15.4m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$186k 今日
61
9 个月后结束

31%

0 (0 bps)

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$5.2m 交易量
$934k 流动性
🔥$123k 今日
22
3 个月后结束

90%

No change

F
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$792k 交易量
$52k 流动性
6
8 个月后结束

14%

Yes

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.2m 交易量
$293k 流动性
4 个月后结束

79%

No change

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$402k 交易量
$100k 流动性
34
27 天后结束

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k 交易量
$108k 流动性
3 个月后结束

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$126k 流动性
4 个月后结束

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

H
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k 交易量
$17k 流动性
27 天后结束

44%

1

J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束

53%

>5%

W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$17.8m 交易量
$1.7m 流动性
🔥$1.1m 今日
74
7 个月后结束

96%

Kevin Warsh

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.3m 交易量
$182k 流动性
16
3 个月后结束

64%

December Meeting

W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$6.0m 交易量
$289k 流动性
7
8 个月后结束

28%

3.5%

J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.9m 交易量
$41k 流动性
37
大约 1 个月后结束

1%

Yes

F
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

$3k 交易量
$198k 流动性
7 个月后结束

28%

October Meeting

W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$230k 流动性
20
9 个月后结束

71%

↓ 3.25%

K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$66k 交易量
$33k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

Yes

J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$118k 交易量
$14k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

70%

December 31

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k 交易量
$19k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

16%

Yes

H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$167k 交易量
$28k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

86%

4.5%